TOTAL GENERATION OF GUJARAT, FUTURE EXPANSION, PRODUCTION GROWTH

GUJARAT’S ELECTRICITY SCENARIO

Gujarat’s state electricity production is currently not well-defined electricity sector. In Gujarat generation of electricity totally dominated by thermal power plant around 70 % installed capacity around 23800 MW. Electricity generation by Renewable energy around 29 % of total generation of electricity around 11000 MW. Installed capacity of Hydro power plants takes part 5.3 % in total generation. Nuclear power plant takes part around 1.3 % of total electricity generation of Gujarat. In future Gujarat totally depend on renewable energy sources and less losses. Gujarat’s electricity production increase around 74 % up to 2030 means Gujarat’s electricity production must be increased by 70 % from 110 TWh to 209 TWh in between 2020 to 2030. Total generation of Gujarat’s and Installed capacity of Gujarat are show in below.

Gujarat import coal from the other state most of its storage. Gujarat has and will continue to manage the burden of expensive thermal products. But in future there will not coal supply continue anymore, so generation of electricity totally depends upon renewable energy source in future. Total Technical and commercial losses reduce around 9 % up to 2030. So up to 2030 total GDP will increase around 7 % annually.

Gujarat’s Electricity Scenario in (2020)

	Capacity		Generation		Capacity Utilization	Increases Capacity in Future
Source	GW	%	TWh	%	%	GW
Renewable	8.6	27.0 %	14.0	12.0 %	20.0 %	1.3
Nuclear	0.7	1.9 %	0.9	1.0 %	19.9 %	0.0
Gas Fired	6.7	19.9 %	13.0	10.9 %	22.1 %	0.0
Hydro	0.7	2.5 %	0.9	1.0 %	15.9 %	0.0
Diesel Fired	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Coal Fired	16.0	49.0 %	81.2	69.9 %	60.0 %	0.2
Total	32.7	100 %	110	100 %	137.9 %	1.5

Gujarat Current Installed Generation Capacity

Generation from (Utility)	Renewable energy source	Nuclear	Thermal	Hydro	Total
Installed capacity in (MW)	11000	450	23800	2000	37200

Gujarat’s Electricity Scenario up to (2031)

	Capacity		Generation		Capacity Utilization	Increases Capacity in Future
Source	GW	%	TWh	%	%	GW
Renewable	55.0	70 %	97.0	47 %	25.0 %	47.0
Nuclear	2.0	2.6 %	14.0	7 %	79.0 %	1.5
Gas Fired	6.7	8 %	14.5	6.9 %	24.9 %	0.0
Hydro	1.0	0.9 %	1.5	1.0 %	19.0 %	0.0
Diesel Fired	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Coal Fired	15.0	20 %	67	32 %	55.0 %	-2.0
Total	79.7	100 %	195	100 %		46.5

India’s Electricity Scenario (2020)

	Capacity		Generation		Capacity Utilization	Increases Capacity in Future
Source	GW	%	TWh	%	%	GW
Renewable	78	22 %	127.0	9.0 %	20.0 %	9.0
Nuclear	7.0	2.0 %	38.0	3.0 %	62.0 %	0.0
Gas Fired	25.0	6.9 %	50.0	3.5 %	23.0 %	0.0
Hydro	45.0	12.0 %	135.0	10.0 %	35.9 %	0.2
Diesel Fired	0.7	0.3 %	0.1	0	2.0 %	-0.1
Coal Fired	199.0	56.0 %	1023.0	74 %	59.0	3.6
Total	354.0	100 %	1373.1	100 %		46.5
Capacity Power	52.0
Total	376.0

India’s Electricity Scenario up to (2031)

	Capacity		Generation		Capacity Utilization	Increases Capacity in Future
Source	GW	%	TWh	%	%	GW
Renewable	406	54.5 %	790.0	34.0 %	22.0 %	327.0
Nuclear	12.0	1.5 %	74.0	3.0 %	70.0 %	5.0
Gas Fired	24.5	3.0 %	53.1	2.0 %	24.9 %	-0.6
Hydro	63.5	8.0 %	183.0	8.0 %	32.9 %	17.9
Diesel Fired	0.0	0.0 %	0.0	0.0	0.0 %	-0.6
Coal Fired	240.0	32.0 %	1210.0	52.0 %	28.0 %	39.0
Total	746	100 %	2310.1	100 %
Battery Storage	33.9
Capacity Power	50.9
Total	830.8

Gujarat’s Electricity Demand and Growth

GDP to Electricity Multiplier of Gujarat	0.81
Electricity Demand Growth in Gujarat	7.0 %
GDP Growth of Gujarat	6.9 %
Reduction of Losses	-0.5 %
Energy Efficiency in Gujarat	-0.9 %
Electricity to GDP Multiplier	0.96

Gujarat’s Electricity Demand, Growth and Technical and Commercial Losses with respect to the each year

Gujarat’s Electricity Generation and its Different Factor of (2019-20)

	2019/20
Energy Efficiency	-0.02
Electricity Multiplier (×)	0.79
Aggregated Technical and Commercial Losses (TWh)	15.0
Electricity Production Growth (%)	4.9 %
Net Demand (TWh)	107.6
Electricity Growth (%)	6.7 %
Real GDP Growth (%)	6.9 %
Aggregated Technical and Commercial  Losses (%)	12.1 %
Electricity Production	123

Gujarat’s Electricity Generation and its Different Factor of (2020-21)

	2020/21
Energy Efficiency	-0.02
Electricity Multiplier (×)	0.79
Aggregated Technical and Commercial Losses (TWh)	15.3
Electricity Production Growth (%)	4.9 %
Net Demand (TWh)	114
Electricity Growth (%)	6.7 %
Real GDP Growth (%)	6.9 %
Aggregated Technical and Commercial Losses (%)	11.7 %
Electricity Production	129

Gujarat’s Electricity Generation and its Different Factor of (2021-22)

	2021/22
Energy Efficiency	-0.02
Electricity Multiplier (×)	0.79
Aggregated Technical and Commercial Losses (TWh)	15.6
Electricity Production Growth (%)	4.9 %
Net Demand (TWh)	121
Electricity Growth (%)	6.7 %
Real GDP Growth (%)	6.9 %
Aggregated Technical and Commercial Losses (%)	11.5 %
Electricity Production	135

Gujarat’s Electricity Generation and its Different Factor of (2022-23)

	2022/23
Energy Efficiency	-0.02
Electricity Multiplier (×)	0.79
Aggregated Technical and Commercial Losses (TWh)	15.8
Electricity Production Growth (%)	4.9 %
Net Demand (TWh)	127
Electricity Growth (%)	6.7 %
Real GDP Growth (%)	6.9 %
Aggregated Technical and Commercial  Losses (%)	10.9 %
Electricity Production	142.5

Gujarat’s Electricity Generation and its Different Factor of (2023-24)

	2023/24
Energy Efficiency	-0.02
Electricity Multiplier (×)	0.79
Aggregated Technical and Commercial Losses (TWh)	15.9
Electricity Production Growth (%)	4.9 %
Net Demand (TWh)	133.9
Electricity Growth (%)	6.7 %
Real GDP Growth (%)	6.9 %
Aggregated Technical and Commercial Losses (%)	10.6 %
Electricity Production	149.0

Gujarat’s Electricity Generation and its Different Factor of (2024-25)

	2024/25
Energy Efficiency	-0.02
Electricity Multiplier (×)	0.79
Aggregated Technical and Commercial Losses (TWh)	16.3
Electricity Production Growth (%)	4.9 %
Net Demand (TWh)	141
Electricity Growth (%)	6.7 %
Real GDP Growth (%)	6.9 %
Aggregated Technical and Commercial Losses (%)	9.9 %
Electricity Production	157

Gujarat’s Electricity Generation and its Different Factor of (2025-26)

	2025/26
Energy Efficiency	-0.02
Electricity Multiplier (×)	0.79
Aggregated Technical and Commercial Losses (TWh)	16.3
Electricity Production Growth (%)	4.9 %
Net Demand (TWh)	150.0
Electricity Growth (%)	6.7 %
Real GDP Growth (%)	6.9 %
Aggregated Technical and Commercial Losses (%)	10.0 %
Electricity Production	166.0

Gujarat’s Electricity Generation and its Different Factor of (2026-27)

	2026/27
Energy Efficiency	-0.02
Electricity Multiplier (×)	0.79
Aggregated Technical and Commercial Losses (TWh)	16.7
Electricity Production Growth (%)	4.9 %
Net Demand (TWh)	158
Electricity Growth (%)	6.7 %
Real GDP Growth (%)	6.9 %
Aggregated Technical and Commercial Losses (%)	9.4 %
Electricity Production	175.0

Gujarat’s Electricity Generation and its Different Factor of (2027-28)

	2027/28
Energy Efficiency	-0.02
Electricity Multiplier (×)	0.79
Aggregated Technical and Commercial Losses (TWh)	19.9
Electricity Production Growth (%)	4.9 %
Net Demand (TWh)	167.0
Electricity Growth (%)	6.7 %
Real GDP Growth (%)	6.9 %
Aggregated Technical and Commercial Losses (%)	9.2 %
Electricity Production	182.9

Gujarat’s Electricity Generation and its Different Factor of (2028-29)

	2028/29
Energy Efficiency	-0.02
Electricity Multiplier (×)	0.79
Aggregated Technical and Commercial Losses (TWh)	17
Electricity Production Growth (%)	4.9 %
Net Demand (TWh)	175.9
Electricity Growth (%)	6.7 %
Real GDP Growth (%)	6.9 %
Aggregated Technical and Commercial Losses (%)	9.0 %
Electricity Production	192.9

Gujarat’s Electricity Generation and its Different Factor of (2029-30)

	2029/30
Energy Efficiency	-0.02
Electricity Multiplier (×)	0.79
Aggregated Technical and Commercial Losses (TWh)	16.9
Electricity Production Growth (%)	4.9 %
Net Demand (TWh)	185.9
Electricity Growth (%)	6.7 %
Real GDP Growth (%)	6.9 %
Aggregated Technical and Commercial Losses (%)	8.5 %
Electricity Production	202.9